Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Viking (VIK) Down 6.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Read MoreHide Full Article

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Viking Holdings (VIK - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 6.3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Viking due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Viking Holdings Ltd. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.

VIK Q2 Earnings Beat on Capacity Growth and Higher Revenue per PCD

Viking reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.31 per share, up 32.3% from 99 cents a year ago and 4.8% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25. Total revenues of $2.19 billion increased 16.5% year over year and beat the consensus mark of $2.13 billion by 3.1%.

The top-line gain reflected higher Capacity Passenger Cruise Days (Capacity PCDs) and increased revenue per PCD. Net Yield, which measures adjusted gross margin per passenger cruise day, rose 6.2% to $645.

VIK's Capacity Growth Supports Revenue Expansion

Capacity PCDs increased 10.9% from the year-ago quarter, mainly reflecting fleet growth. Occupancy was 94.4% compared with 95.6% a year earlier. Viking carried 249,999 passengers, up from 224,643, while passenger cruise days increased to 2.23 million from 2.04 million.

Viking defines occupancy as passenger cruise days divided by Capacity PCDs. The company does not allow more than two passengers in a two-berth stateroom, meaning occupancy cannot exceed 100% even when all staterooms are booked.

Cruise and land revenues were $2.03 billion compared with $1.76 billion in the prior-year quarter. Onboard and other revenues reached $158.00 million, up from $125.17 million.

Viking's Gross Margins Advance Year Over Year

Gross margin increased 15.7% year over year to $928.79 million. Adjusted gross margin advanced 16.3% to $1.44 billion, reflecting a $202.02 million increase from the year-ago period.

The company's six-month operating data also showed higher adjusted gross margins for Viking River and Viking Ocean. Viking River generated $855.53 million, up from $768.43 million, while Viking Ocean produced $1.07 billion compared with $887.55 million a year earlier.

VIK's Fleet Growth Drives Vessel Costs Higher

Vessel operating expenses increased 17.1% to $442.33 million. Excluding fuel, vessel operating expenses rose 13.9% to $380.92 million. Viking attributed the increases mainly to the larger fleet in 2026 compared with 2025.

On a unit basis, vessel operating expenses per Capacity PCD increased to $187 from $177. The measure excluding fuel rose to $161 from $157. Fuel expense was $61.41 million compared with $43.14 million in the year-ago quarter.

Viking's Profitability Strengthens in Q2

Adjusted EBITDA increased 18.2% year over year to $748.43 million. Net income was $587.70 million, up from $439.24 million, while adjusted net income attributable to Viking increased to $587.44 million from $439.05 million.

Operating income reached $643.90 million compared with $545.53 million a year earlier. Selling and administration expense increased to $268.67 million from $248.29 million, while depreciation and amortization rose to $84.05 million from $65.44 million.

VIK's Advance Bookings Rise for 2026 and 2027

For its Core Products, VIK had sold 96% of 2026 Capacity PCDs as of Aug. 9, 2026. Operating capacity for the 2026 season is 7.0% above 2025. Advance Bookings totaled $6.39 billion, 13.0% above the comparable 2025 level, while Advance Bookings per PCD increased 6.0% to $833.

For 2027, Viking had sold 53% of Capacity PCDs, with operating capacity planned 15.0% above 2026. Advance Bookings reached $4.71 billion, 21.0% higher than the comparable 2026 level, and Advance Bookings per PCD rose 10.0% to $958.

Viking's Balance Sheet and Fleet Build-Out Update

As of June 30, 2026, Viking had $3.99 billion in cash and cash equivalents and an undrawn $1.00 billion revolver. Deferred revenue stood at $5.04 billion. Net debt was $2.40 billion, and Net Leverage was 1.2 times. Scheduled principal payments were $116.70 million for the remainder of 2026 and $233.70 million for 2027.

Since the first-quarter 2026 earnings release, Viking took delivery of the Viking Mira ocean ship and four river vessels. The company expects one additional ocean ship and five river vessels during the remainder of 2026 and exercised options for two ocean ships scheduled for delivery in 2032.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, fresh estimates have trended downward during the past month.

The consensus estimate has shifted -11.22% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, Viking has a nice Growth Score of B, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with an F. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a score of D on the value side, putting it in the bottom 40% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Interestingly, Viking has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

Published in